Today, many trainers with clout have no trouble running a horse for less than it is worth or, perhaps more accurately put, less than what the owner thinks it is worth. m/f View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Wolverhampton. Whether it be from DSLD/ESPA or injury, these techniques presented will make your horse more comfortable and happy. Of course, the sample size is wholly insufficient, but the numbers mirror what Ive seen in other too-good-to-be-true scenarios: the win rate goes up, but the odds go down way down. Subscribers can visit the Races-Search Runners page or one of the BetTurtle race cards. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Jockey Breaking news, expert analysis and handicapping reports to help you win at the track. Fearless Knight: Sunshine Coast Race 4: $1,970,000: 6,567%: 1. Easy to grasp the concept, but so obvious that it is often overlooked, or under-valued in relation to other more esoteric factors to be considered in a race. We are a team of passionate racing enthusiasts and IT experts with a belief that studying horse racing form is too hard and time consuming for most people. If the FCP% Minimum of 30 runs to qualify. Should a horse fail on any of these rules (even one of them) out of that horse and cant recover in 30 days or less. Runners, One Runner Say you're looking at a $30K open claiming race: It might include a last-out maiden special winner, or a runner from an optional claimer, a restricted claimer, a starter handicap, an allowance race - or, God forbid, all of the above! However; after 26 years in the game, I've concluded one thing: Race betting can be a whole lot simpler than some "experts" try to make it out to be. someplace i long for a 6 or 8 for w.o. This applies to a horse that hasnt won in its last 10 races. Alternatively, you can read the Ignition Casino review first. Today's Betting class will also help you to eliminate horses from contention. But it got me wondering? Joanne & Larry Ross 6100 Aumsville Hwy SE Salem, OR 97317 Home: 503-585-3100 Cell: 503-580-6827 At Turfdom, we have come up with a number of proven rules to 4-1 TO 5-1. Click here to visit Bovada! a) Raced with 17 days The game revolves around money in every regard. website is for entertainment purposes only. today and looks too good to be true, it probably is. Which is the Royal Racecourse: Ascot, Newmarket, York ? If you are wondering which horses are running today in a different class type? we have you covered. If a horse is wearing Blinkers for the second time it may have worn other head gear previously. Back to racing; consider the Derby the in 2004. The two races are of completely different classes. If not, you can probably skip this one :-) However, it is about emotions and over-arousal . One who wins 8% of their starts or less within the last year defines a losing trainer. Seems like I see winning efforts off that 2nd attempt all the time. Change in class is based on the old race letter classification where there are 11 classes. The horse dropping in class has long been one of horse racings most reliable betting angles. Subscribe today and have instant access to all of our systems, stats and ratings! No Speed Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Jockey Bovada is our favorite pick for USA Bettors! Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and Finding that vulnerable At most racetracks the bottom of the claiming ladder is $5,000. Only horses who have earned win or place prize money on this surface included. Here are all the articles related to horse racing stats for the UK and Irish races. horse comes from the clouds, toss out. time or speed doesn.t matter may the horse be with vince the prince does anybody ever hear of ben gateman write systems for g.e. They have had sufficient time to prove their ability. . competition. Horses Dropped in Class Tomorrow 2. With claiming races, its not always about identifying the best horse (actually, thats rarely true of any race the odds always matter but you get the picture). second-time starter, still a maiden. Many shrewd betting experts study the trainers and horses covering the longest distance to the racecourse today. In pari-mutuel wagering, your competitor is the person sitting next to you. Take a peek at the digits on horses that finished in the money (third or better) and were claimed in their last race: Number: 10,350. With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in today's race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at today's race class level. Maybe someone has already done some work in that area. Please email me with any questions at cv. If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? False favorites abound in chaotic races. All information provided by this Horses which won last time out on either flat turf or all weather surface. Some of the information is not stat based but shows essential information such as horses dropping in class, or changes in trainer. BIGGEST PAYOFFS I CAN REMEMBER OFFHAND WAS TOP PICK? NO 7 @TAMPA BAY DOWNS IN THE LAST RACE IN FEB.2011 OR 2010. class drop is important lets not forget the age of the horse also i feel classdrop in horse 5yrs and under in males and gelding come pair to females is important just notice it males in c/d seem to put there heart into it notice 5yr old gelding nest time but as we all know what looks solid couse of action today dies tomorrow also time off between c/d is important to me unless horse is w.o. Heres an example. You may want to check the sires individual performance on Fibresand if racing at Southwell. Changers, Good Performers Last To find out, I consulted my racing database and heres what I found. For the most part, each class receives a number that remains constant. You can determine the relationship between any class levels using the RCL; its that easy. 7. Travellers, In Form Trainer Frm e.g. Results: There were 64 double-digit winners during this one week's span at these tracks. If EZ Horse Betting is your preferred approach, there are a few ways you can approach handicapping class. bounce factor, which really does exist. Join now for as little as 94p a day with a three month subscription, or try us for a week for just a tenner. And look at what happens when those same horses compete for a purse less than half of what it was in their last race: Number: 122 Winners: 28 Win Rate: 23.0% $2 Return (ROI): $1.15 (-42.25%). Fame, Betting b) Open claiming races where no entry in the field has ever won for this claiming price Please confirm . Stats, Trainer Flat Travellers, In Form Trainer If a horse is wearing Blinkers for the first time it may have worn other head gear previously. The trainer decides that a class drop is in order and enters the horse in a $10,000 race. is going to take place? Jockey Results. Claiming races are those in which the horses entered are for sale. How to Figure Horses Dropping in Class After Being Claimed Recently, on the " Homeless Handicappers " Facebook page, a member asked about a horse named Tribal Jewel, who had been claimed for $16,000 at Del Mar on Nov. 25 and was subsequently entered for an $8,000 tag at Santa Anita on Jan. 6. Just outside the top tier of horses in the 2022 Kentucky Derby odds is Zozos (39-1), whose owners, Barry and Joni Butzow, hail from Minnesota. Remember, should it . Also, everyone knows to pay attention to a horse making its 2nd, 3rd, or 4th attempt following a layoff. The best of the best wind up in the National Football League. Raw No jumps or overseas figures used. Stats, Jockey Flat Suspicious Drop in Class today I GOT A SYSTEM LONG AGO THAT WAS CALLED THE DROP DOWN COVER UPSYSTEM. Flat Runs includes runs from both flat turf and all weather. The reality of the situation though is often puzzling. I USE THE MOST MONEY WON [LIFETIME] AS MY BET ON TOP IF MORE THAN ONE CONTENDER OF THIS TYPE. This is extremely good handicapping information to have at If you follow the punters which read the classification of the event as being the indication of class then it has dropped in class. In this instance an 'x' is listed next to the item worn. And look at what happens when those same horses compete . (fts = first time starter / SH = starter handicap / Oc = optional claimer / Alw = allowance). Very informative from all of you folks, but I wouldnt expect much less from the people Gary keeps company with. Stats, Longest a) Claimers, non-winners of two lifetime. Healthy horses work out and race. It would be nice if we could come up with a neat way of judging and handicapping for class. For instance, a Grade I Stakes race for older males is always a 210, a $32,000 claimer for older fillies and mares is always 140. The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. Lacking a Good Activity Pattern Posted by ginag2 on Jul 24, 2012 in Blog | 7 comments. Cards, Search type. e) Low-priced claiming levels ($5000 or less) with restrictions such as non-winners of a ]]IN THE LAST RACE ARE CLOSER TO THE WINNER THEN THE 2CD LAST RACE BACKITS A CONTENDER . But actually its the second attempt at the same class after previously dropping. That was 18 races at 4 tracks. There have been numerous good horse handicapping writers that have proposed various theories and ideas on this question. Table ranked by ratio of place strike rate to win strike rate. However, if its first race back has been stressful (dueled with . Course Stats, Latest Only horses with at least 10 runs included. Today, the class drop may be enough to help the horse achieve a win. Changers, Distance I'll make a few generalized assumptions before showing you some recent figures . Todays Racing Digest race sheets makes handicapping class easy by using a simple number system assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. Make a note of horses that are dropping in class, who ran a speed rating faster than class in their last race and those that are well handicapped. Click here to visit Ignition Casino! The first race back has already taken too much Ill comment by saying that it is astounding that you can still get good prices on droppers. When a horse takes a class drop this means it is taking a step down where competition is concerned. Advertising on UK Horse Racing. US Racing is not a racebook or ADW, and does not accept or place wagers of any For more help with this page, which includes an explanation on the basic / advanced stats and sample size / confidence figures please click the help icon in the menu bar. Our table shows all the horses who have dropped in class and are racing today, check them out for yourself. Tomorrow's longest travellers of horses and trainers are updated on a daily basis as the best horse racing tipsters 2023 use this data as part of their analysis. ALSO I TEND ELIMINATE A HORSE WHO QUIT EVERY RACE IN THE FORM PLUS A VERY BAD POST OUTSIDE. How often does the 3rd fav win over all races flat and national hunt. Stl Only claiming, optional claiming, and maiden claining races considered withthe stipulation that maiden claiming races with more than 1 first-time-starter, or1 first time starter with final odds or morning line odds of 4-1 or lower will be passed. The term "classy" is most often applied to horses who run winning races in the higher purse levels at the track, or circuit where they compete - but that doesn't really help. This is another powerful tool which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. Stl% This can be risky. must be 5/8 or more. Alternatively, you can read the Bovada Racebook review first. An interesting twist to the class drop is one that Ive noticed, but never kept any records. So - when you see a low-odds horse that has become the crowd favorite because of a last-race win or second at lower levels - don't be reticent about betting against it if there are other hard-knocking class droppers in the race. Stats, Tipping Hall of Thats the way trainer Brian Lynch is , By Richard Rosenblatt Hes a Hall of Famer, and one of the most well-respected trainers in the business ever. Lets take American football as an example. The same principle holds true in horse racing. The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. Key, Past Winners Copyright 2023 British Racecourses - britishracecourses.org is intended for the sole use of the individuals over 18 years of age. We at UK Horse Racing think not. Each stat is displayed in a table and shows the name, profit, or ROI% of the stat. Above Average Edge, Case Studies Conn Nobody gives anything away at the racetrack. 35 of them were won by class droppers (by the simple definition given earlier) = 54.7% 18 were won by horses staying at the same class level = 28.1% Only 7 were won by horses rising in class = 10.9% The stats can be viewed in basic or advanced mode and are colour coded so that you can quickly see very good (blue) and very bad (red) stats. Its perfectly logical to state that a horse dropping in class may have an advantage over its competitors who are not. Horse Handicapping Articles (click to view/read) Making a Betting Line Success And Luck Turn Time - the hidden fraction Track Specific Spot Plays View stats for trainer and jockey combinations, hot and cold trainers, horses changing in class and much more. Theres problems with this horse and we want to get rid of it (even so often while also trying to grab one last purse). Thats an amazing statistic with Take action today, and your horse handicapping, and horse racing betting will make a huge leap into the profit zone. ; Click the Horse filter button. The table below includes all the double-digit winners from straight claiming races of 5 to 9 furlongs at the tracks issued by Horse Racing Gold for the week of June, 9th through June, 13th. CSV Fields, The Differentials The reason for that is that these horses are competing with weaker horses (even though in a handicap race they may have to carry more weight). Lets say a horse achieved its only win in a Maiden Claiming Race for $20,000. Fame, Betting Toss it. Here are the filters * we use that help us find the list of horses that on average will provide 80% of the winners each day.. The line maker, employed by the track, is a savvy I hope, though, that the results will re-enforce in your mind one of the over-riding facts of handicapping and betting horse races: Horses dropping in class win far more than they should. This is why one can get the interesting situation of a horse running in Class C race and is dropping is class from the Class D race last week. This is called the Online Sports Betting Goes Live in Louisiana, Top Gifts for Horse Racing Fans & Bettors, Ultimate tips for online horse race betting, nice bonus, and more when you sign up today, Twin Spires Is The Official Betting Partner Of The Breeders Cup, Death of Jockey Megan Taylor at Ashburton Raceway. Pretty successful over the past , Bad Winter Forces Ortiz Brothers to Gulfstream, Jockeying for Position: Prat, Rispoli Heading to New York, Eddie Macs Book: A Pick 3 Wager Singling Classic Causeway in Tampa Bay Derby, Tampa Bay Derby: Classic Causeway The One To Beat, Run to the Roses: Forbidden Kingdom No. You should look out for a horse who has been dropped in class as it means that they will invariably be contesting against weaker horses. Handicappers, Well Trainer, Trainer All Weather Race Information As the Founder of British Racecourses, I have a life-long passion for horse racing and have loved the sport as long as I can remember. Beyer #s and recent success, have become so over used that prices have become surpressed over the last few decades. Throw in a NOT LENGTHS UNLESS NEAR 6 1/4L Elevated. You can do this by clicking on the sires name on the racecard and looking at his A/E stat at Southwell. Horses dropping in class at today's races. Figures from flat turf and all weather. either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. Needless to say, there is not a consensus on the subject. We would say that it was lower. The only way to make money at the racetrack is to think and act differently than your [[DOESNT SAY WHAT TO DO ON DISTANCE SWITCHES IN THOSE RACES? Maidens & Koulds If a horse has been struggling at a certain claiming level, the trainer and owner may wish to drop to a lower price. Stats for combination runs. Several things would give me pause, starting with the steep drop in class (and purse value) and ending with Tribal Jewels eroding speed rations and subpar recent works, particularly his latest. You Bet, you WIN, you GET paid. I USE THE 30 DAY RULE OR IGNORE THIS IF PAYOFFS ARE HIGH. What do you guys and gals do when you see this? The member asked. Stats for combination runs. Another option: Try BETUS! This website does not endorse or encourage illegal gambling. Favourite Stats, Jockey National Hunt Alm I want find records of historical winning SP to class of of race rating - Flat & NH do you have these ? ?--or is this available in november? considerable variables involved when trying to decide the outcome of a horse race. Handicapped, Class representation or endorsement of any activities offered by any reviewed racebook or ADW. Runs Id like to comment on the person with the insight on the 2cd drop down ANGLE. Saddled by a Losing Trainer Figures from flat turf and all weather. Why Should You Look at Horses Who are Dropped in Class. If a horse in relatively good form faces weaker competition, it's logical to believe that the lesser competition will enable the horse dropping down to shine. Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. Race / Meeting FilterYou can filter this page to show the stats for the whole day, turf or all weather meetings, a specific meeting or race time. Ratings, Course Stats By Advanced will also show Expected Wins (SRI) and Archie (chi-squared) statistical figures. Gem Song Today's You can view stats such as trainer and jockey combinations, changes in trainer, penalty carriers, quick returners, class changers and much more. class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! Cls e.g.To find the best Trainer and Jockey combination today click All MeetingsIf there are meetings on turf and all weather and you want to find the best combination on turf click Turf MeetingsIf you want to find the best combination at a specific meeting then click the name of the RacecourseIf you want to find the best combination in a specific race click the Race Time. View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Newcastle. The following lists the rules (or criteria) to which the horse must adhere. Code, Trainer Horse Guest are limited to viewing 3 items per table. Class drops are just one approach. Its a great question. Today : Tomorrow: DATE COURSE TIME NO. Usually, whatever malady sent it to the sidelines has been corrected proposition. Your email address will not be published. We are a team of passionate racing enthusiasts and IT experts with a belief that studying horse racing form is too hard and time consuming for most people. Favourite Stats, Trainer All Weather In horse racing there is a method of grouping horses by their talent level. Claiming races works similar to the allowances except the owner must sell the horse in claiming races for the price entered at and these class varies in two ways: 1st; the lower the claiming price the lower the class these horses will usually run against, and 2; the N/W 1, N/W 2, N/W 3, etc are the lowest to the best in each claiming level . These are the types of races where the class levels are most obvious (though not always so when considering the restrictions involved in some claiming races) as opposed to some of the other categories of races. Eclipse Sportswire. Jockey, Jockey All Weather Trainer Jones has been running his horse in $15,000 claiming races. Stats InfoThe stats on this page can be shown in basic or advanced mode. TO DAVE HENRYAND ALL Both bring a temporary prosperity; both bring a permanent ruin. Favourite Stats, Trainer All Weather CPos For Latest News Visit Our Facebook . The negative drop down angle seems to have lost its bite in recent years.perhaps as a result of the over-inflated purses that we see in today's casino-assisted version of this game. SP, 1999-2019 UK Horse Racing Table ranked by earnings per start. A horse that can only run a half-mile in :48 seconds is unlikely to ever beat a horse that can run the same distance in :44 seconds. Trainer, Course Stats By I consider races where a horse is being protected to usually contain a "classier" field than races where they are not protected. Changers, Good Performers Last Stats, Jockey National Hunt I am also a keen racehorse owner and have worked in the gambling industry for several years. ITS ALSO GOOD IF YOU GET TYPE OF HORSE TO BEAT THE FAVORITE OR EXACTA BOX IT WITH THE FAVORITE SOMETIMES TO GET YOUR R.O.I UP. Basic will show standard stats figures such as wins, runs, strike rate, A/E and profit. 9 Therefore, horses in a $10,000 claiming race can be bought by anyone with an owners license and $10,000. HERES HOW IT GOES ;; Basic subscribers have access to the 80:20 rule pointers reports.. Take a peek at the digits on horses that finished in the money (third or better) and were claimed in their last race: Number: 10,350 Winners: 1,815 Win Rate: 17.5% $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 (-24.53%). You would not expect a high school team to perform well against a group of NFL veterans. By assigning a numerical value to a race it allows the you to easily discern the quality of one class of horses from another. Zozos will be their first Kentucky Derby entry after . And that is the horse who was dropping in its last race from the penultimate race (and lost), but today is coming back at the same level as last [e.g., todays race is claiming $12,500; last race is also $12,500; but the race before that is $16,000]. In most cases, their odds line is accurate in determining the race favorite. Legitimate favorites win races This hidden class drop was obviously missed by the bettors, as Bella Campari was sent to post at odds of 9-1 and won easily! Absolutely amazing site, only wish I could afford the full subscription. Jockey, Jockey All Weather It has Last ran figure from the flat turf or all weather only. (R) means that the jockey did not ride the horse LTO and thus is a returning jockey. However, how do we know when that situation I certainly applaud that kind of research and do some of it myself. Welcomes global players. The term is defined as: 6. We four have such a good time that we decide to do it again next month and to allow Class `B` celebs in as well. Because we look at the participants and not the labelling. "Class drops" (any drop in claiming price or drop from a "protected" race into an open race) will be shown in gold - class jumps in blue. Especially if it is a claimer race because the trainer risks losing the horse in a claim. Horses running for the same or higher tag as last time (when they were claimed) that are running for a lesser purse today outperform recent claims as a whole. Movers, 1st Time Movers, 1st Time Sign up to get the latest insights delivered straight to your inbox. Learning to spot one of these class angles is sometimes all the handicapping you need to pick a winner. Runners, Available Data Note that AW will include both Fibresand and Polytrack results. Rating A horse making it's first ever race course debut will have Flat Runs of 0. another horse for a good part of the race), it will not fire in its next start. TrForm ineffective conditioner. Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. 1 in Kentucky Derby Top 10. A horse with this type of "form" should clearly be stepped up in class, or at an absolute minimum, kept at the same level. Stats, Trainer Runners, Available Data Results. To find out more about horse racing stats such as: number of winners, strike rates, and profit please read our Horse Racing Stats Guide. b) Raced within 24 days and a work within eight days But the same race conditions at Golden Gate Fields would be rated at 145. Table ranked by number of days since last win. Sometimes we tend to overlook the obvious. class today should be tossed out. This website assumes no responsibility for the actions by and makes no She finished seventh, beaten by 13 lengths. Results: There were 64 double-digit winners during this one week's span at these tracks. Got any racing systems or stats questions?Email: q198 = 'frank';n278 = 'flatstats.co.uk';document.write(''); Enter a word or phrase in the box to search the whole FlatStats site. EXAMPLE: 16 L BACK IN 2CD LAST RACE AND 4 LENGTHS BACK IN LAST RACE == 12 L. DIFFERENCE WOULD BE BET OVER AN 8 LENGTHS IMPROVEMENT OF ANOTHER CONTENDER. Stats, All Green Simply put, good trainers win races, bad ones dont. Run, BetTurtle Horse If the meeting or race is all weather then these horses are having their first run on all weather. ALSO THE RATE OF WINS IS ONLY 16%, BUT THE AVERAGE PRICE PAYOFF IS ABOUT $11.60 AND AVERAGE LENGTHS IMPROVEMNET WAS 6 1/4 . If a horse is dramatically dropping in class. determine if a favorite is vulnerable. Knowing about Street Shark's performance exiting the July 23 race, I could not possibly understand why the horse that beat him was suddenly be dropped in class. $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 ( -24.53%) Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. The times to play these horses are when the odds are acceptable to offset the risk For example, we decide to throw a party and decide to invite all the Class `A` (female, of course) celebs and we have a cracking time as there`s just us hosting the bash but only Michelle Pfeiffer turns up along with Catherine Zeta-Jones. I used to call it the second drop. The Accuracy In horse racing these skill levels are known as class. There are so many possible factors for consideration when handicapping a horse race and such a multitude of opinions on how to best handicap the races key factors are often lost in the haze of information overload. Age Analysing huge priced winners tipped on FlatStats, Mark Johston out of form going into Glorious Goodwood, Draw Bias for the major Group 1 races at Epsom, Racing Data Charts - Avg SP of Group Favourites, Trainer, Owner, Sire, Jockey Stats for York Racecourse, Horse Racing Stats for 4th Mar 2023 - All Meetings. Class Changers. Thoroughbreds are born to run but they do not all possess the same talent level. In other words, at some tracks - moving around in a group of class levels can be relatively easy while at other tracks jumping up from one of these same levels to the next higher might be very tough. So, would you say that that race had the same class or lower than other years? c) Any race in which none of the participating horses can run to par for that given
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