4. RHP Gavin Williams (Tier 1)3. 100)Top 2021 rookie: Jarred Kelenic, OF, The Mariners' rise continues, as they've jumped from being unranked in 10 consecutive Top 10s -- from preseason 2015 through midseason 2019 -- to having baseball's third-best farm system. Running the numbers on the Padres system, the paint on which is mostly dry, shows that they wont even come close to surpassing Tampa Bay, and will likely fall short by well over $100 million. Texas Rangers2021 midseason rank: 112021 preseason rank: 212020 midseason rank: 242020 preseason rank: 21Top 100 Prospects: Jack Leiter (No. More , 3. IF Hao-Yu Lee (Tier 3)6. The completion of the team-by-team lists means that untouched rankings from my last sixth months of work are frozen in time here. San Francisco also has some high-end talent as well, with catcher Joey Bart preparing to take over for Buster Posey and a huge wave led by shortstop Marco Luciano, outfielder Luis Matos, left-hander Kyle Harrison and right-hander Will Bednar perhaps arriving in 2023. Baty and Mauricio face some questions about their future defensive homes, in part due to the organizational depth chart, and that goes double for impressive slugger Mark Vientos, the clubs No. Gordon (and Maitan) just keeps slipping as hes moved up, been exposed, however you want to put it. 82), Hunter Bishop (No. Detroit Tigers2020 midseason rank: 22020 preseason rank: 5Top 100 Prospects: Spencer Torkelson (No. RHP Ty Madden (Tier 1)5. Episode 949 This week on the podcast, we learn a lot about Kansas City's farm system before a chat about potential moves before the 40-man roster deadline. 68), Miguel Vargas (No. 3B/OF Justyn-Henry Malloy (Tier 2)7. Right-hander Sam Bachman, lefty Ky Bush, outfielder Jordyn Adams, catcher Edgar Quero and middle infielders Arol Vera, Kyren Paris, Denzer Guzman and Jeremiah Jackson could help the Angels rise back up the rankings with strong 2022 campaigns. Baltimore Orioles2020 midseason rank: 32020 preseason rank: 8Top 100 Prospects: Adley Rutschman (No. More , 17. 3B Casey Schmitt (Tier 2)8. LHP Jared Shuster (Tier 2) 2. Houston Astros2021 midseason rank: 292021 preseason rank: 292020 midseason rank: 272020 preseason rank: 28Top 100 Prospects: none, The Astros place in the bottom three for the fifth straight time, yet that hasn't kept them from appearing in five consecutive American League Championship Series. The Brewers (mid-2016) and Braves (pre-2017) have made three straight playoff appearances, including a trip each to the National League Championship Series. 74), Vidal Brujn (No. Miami not only has the youngest team in the National League East, but it also has easily the best crop of prospects. LHP/1B Reggie Crawford (Tier 3)9. 85), Shane Baz (No. OF George Valera (Tier 1)4. Harris and right-hander Spencer Strider earned the top two spots with breakout seasons in 2021. RHP Jaden Hill (Tier 3), 1. Congrats on getting all the prospect lists done, must be a good feeling. LHP Logan Allen (Tier 1)7. That means teams current placement is, in essence, their floor for the final ranking. Washington Nationals2021 midseason rank: 202021 preseason rank: 302020 midseason rank: 302020 preseason rank: 29Top 100 Prospects: Cade Cavalli (No. This makes Erics decision for borderline grade players significant for valuation purposes. 21), Tarik Skubal (No. This year, Houston could get a boost from its top three prospects, all of whom narrowly missed the Top 100: shortstop Jeremy Pea, catcher Korey Lee and right-hander Hunter Brown. Milwaukee Brewers2020 midseason rank: 282020 preseason rank: 29Top 100 Prospects: Garrett Mitchell (No. The plus designations help account for this some. 63), Sam Huff (No. RHP AJ Smith-Shawver (Tier 3) 3. 57), Josiah Gray (No. The most efficient way to build a winning big league club is by constructing a strong farm system. This is fantasticthanks. C Henry Davis (Tier 1)4. IF Werner Blakely (Tier 3)9. by Handedness. Just scroll down a little bit; its on the right. Philadelphia Phillies2020 midseason rank: 232020 preseason rank: 19Top 100 Prospects: Spencer Howard (No. C Harry Ford (Tier 1)2. 80), Jordan Balazovic (No. More , 13. More , 26. FanGraphs Baseball. I dont think its worth fishing past the 45+s for monetary value, FWIW. 67), Andy Pages (No. (The first post in their. LHP Blake Walston (Tier 3)9. RHP Luis Ortiz (Tier 2)6. Brett Lawrie / 3B/2B/OF. 47), Kristian Robinson (No. 4 prospect. Those are three high-ceiling bats who could easily form the middle of a New York lineup by the end of 2023. Long, lanky and loaded with tools and projection, Alcantara is a loose, 6-foot-6 outfielder with massive potential. 4 prospect Ivan Herrera arent far from forming a Major League battery themselves. Id agree that upper minors level 40s and such may be viewed with a critical eye, but low level guys there just because theyre still low level guys and not top picks or IFA signs just shows caution in the grading. The farm systems that haven't yet had their fresh and thorough annual examination (snaps latex glove) are highlighted in yellow on the Farm Ranking tab, with the asset values of their 2020. 76), Matt McClain (No. The Cardinals, Cubs, and Mets have a healthy mix of high-end prospects and close-to-the-majors role 5/4 types, but none of those three systems are particularly deep at the moment. FanGraphs Baseball | Baseball Statistics and Analysis Glasnow, Musgrove Go Down With Early Injuries in Blow to Playoff Contenders With tight playoff races expected, injuries to key pitchers. OF Alec Burleson (Tier 1)5. A cautionary tale for the Jasson Dominguezs of the world. RHP Gabriel Hughes (Tier 2)7. 4 Joe Ryan, No. 35), Shea Langeliers (No. SS Marcelo Mayer (Tier 1)2. 69), Despite graduating a slew of young talent to the Majors the past couple of seasons, the Marlins still are tied for the most Top 100 Prospects (six) with the Mariners and Pirates. When Wander Franco graduates, they will still have a $100 million gap between them and where the next tier starts, though if some of their other recently added prospects stick on the big league roster for the rest of the year, their system will fall back to the pack. 49), Bobby Dalbec (No. C Kevin Parada (Tier 1)4. 45), Mick Abel (No. would get you most of the way there. 2 Toronto through No. 1 dont have a Commissioners Trophy yet, but theyve been in the hunt and all of them are contenders once again this year. 24), Oneil Cruz (No. Readers have a couple of different options in this area. 9 as the farm system continues to become more balanced on both sides of the ball. As always, the Rays are known for their considerable depth -- more so now when they dont claim the top overall prospect in the game -- and while their Top 30 is already high-quality, theres a decent chance a popup name will emerge from outside that group in 2022, as Curtis Mead did last year. 3B Zack Gelof (Tier 2)4. C Francisco lvarez (Tier 1)2. 66), Edward Cabrera (No. The Cubs are another organization that could look a lot better a year from now as we get a better handle on the fruits of their 2015 IFA spending spree. Infielder Nick Allen and pitchers Daulton Jefferies and A.J. In the past two years, unheralded prospects Cristian Javier, Luis Garcia, Chas McCormick and Jake Meyers have made significant contributions. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. 20), Henry Davis (No. LHP Carson Whisenhunt (Tier 2)6. 100), Like speedy outfielders who can hit? Previous work can also be found at Sports On Earth, CrashburnAlley and Prospect Insider. 2B Justin Foscue (Tier 2)8. Greg Deichmann - OF Out of all the prospects the Cubs acquired at the deadline, Deichmann is probably the closest in terms of helping out at the big league level. You can now view our in-progress farm system rankings over on The Board. 50), Brendan McKay (No. System-wide prospect successes sell World Series tickets. 86), Tyler Stephenson (No. Most of the 40s are always going to be 40s, or theyll get injured/retired/etc. 3B Colt Keith (Tier 2)6. OF Dominic Fletcher (Tier 3)10. IF Lenyn Sosa (Tier 3)8. More , 10. RHP Taj Bradley (Tier 1)2. LHP Connor Prielipp (Tier 2)7. They have some strength up the middle (led by fellow Top 100 prospect Gunnar Henderson), added another first-rounder to the Top 100 coffers with Colton Cowser last year, and thanks to aggressive drafting and a renewed presence in Latin America, this system is both deep and top-heavy. Individual prospect successes sell jerseys. 33), George Kirby (No. 1), Luis Patio (No. 53), Reid Detmers (No. 40), Garrett Crochet (No. 43 ), Jordan Westburg, INF ( No. By Kiley McDaniel. by Retrosheet. These will fluctuate and change shortly after players are drafted, traded, or graduate, or move as they around the org lists. More , 15. If rankings were based on catching prospects alone, the A's would be in fine fettle with two of MLB's Top 10 backstop prospects in the system. 3B Jacob Berry (Tier 1)4. 89), The Rangers signed Corey Seager and Marcus Semien to bolster their lineup, and their farm system should give the club a huge boost in the next couple of years. RHP Matt Canterino (Tier 2)9. SS Maikel Garcia (Tier 2)7. SS Matt McLain (Tier 2)8. OF Jacob Melton (Tier 3)7. Using Craigs research to value a given FV tier still allows me to express my assessment of and preference for individual players, while also adding some rigor to the system rankings. 2B Michael Busch (Tier 1)5. Now they are giving all players of the same grade, the same value. RHP Matt Allan (Tier 3), 1. More , 2. Those facts alone would buy the Tigers a spot in the Top 10 of these rankings, but only by a whisker do they get there because of the groups top-heaviness. 97)Top 2021 rookie: Alex Kirilloff, OF, Even with the loss of top prospect Royce Lewis for the year, four of the Twins top six prospects have the chance to impact the big league roster in 2021, with some good depth behind them. 21), The Angels have seemingly had fleeting Minor League depth for years but have produced high-ceiling players in Jared Walsh, Jo Adell, Brandon Marsh and Shohei Ohtani, the 2021 AL MVP. Since MLB Pipeline began ranking farm systems biannually in 2015, every organization that claimed the top spot has enjoyed plenty of on-field success. 24), Matt Manning (No. IF Eguy Rosario (Tier 2)5. 2B Cade Doughty (Tier 3)10. 42), Elly De La Cruz (No. LHP Jackson Ferris (Tier 3)10. Miami Marlins2020 midseason rank: 52020 preseason rank: 4Top 100 Prospects: Sixto Snchez (No. RHP Brock Porter (Tier 1)5. LHP Cooper Hjerpe (Tier 2)10. 3B Miguel Vargas (Tier 1)4. 72), MLB Pipeline has been ranking prospects since 2004, and this marks the first time a Royals prospect has claimed the No. 12), Ian Anderson (No. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, SS Brooks Lee (Tier 1)2. More , 20. Pre-Draft Farm System Rankings | FanGraphs Baseball Pre-Draft Farm System Rankings by Eric Longenhagen July 9, 2021 MLB Draft Week 2021 Mock Draft 2.0 What Goes on in Draft Rooms 2021. SS Adrian Placencia (Tier 3), 1. More , 28. The Royals showed a real propensity to develop bats in 2021 Witt, Pratto, Melendez and Vinnie Pasquantino each finished among the Minors top six in extra-base hits last year but they lack the same punch in the arms race. 19), Jordan Lawlar (No. As players are added to (via the draft or trade) or subtracted from (via trade or graduation) an organization, the Farm Rankings associated with those teams will also update automatically. SS Brady House (Tier 2)6. More , 30. SS Adael Amador (Tier 1)4. RHP Darius Vines (Tier 3)7. LHP Dax Fulton (Tier 3)7. SS Jordan Westburg (Tier 1)7. More , 8. RHP Will Warren (Tier 3)8. LHP Ky Bush (Tier 2)5. Colorado Rockies2021 midseason rank: 262021 preseason rank: 272020 midseason rank: 282020 preseason rank: 27Top 100 Prospects: Zac Veen (No. More , 29. 7), Daniel Lynch (No. SS Jonathan Mejia (Tier 3), 1. assessment is a thing we need to nail down. by Retrosheet. International signees such as Jeferson Quero, Hedbert Perez and Jackson Chourio could jump into Top 100 consideration with impressive showings. 30)Top 2021 rookie: Daniel Lynch, LHP, For the second straight year, shortstop phenom Bobby Witt Jr. headlines the Royals Top 30. "The Blue Jays feature a young prospect group," BA's blurb said . 1 spot for three straight editions of these rankings, are coming off their first 100-win season in the history of the franchise. 40), No other system has two prospects in the Top 5. More , 11. SS Termarr Johnson (Tier 1)3. Atlanta Braves2020 midseason rank: 152020 preseason rank: 8Top 100 Prospects: Cristian Pache (No. 17), Josh Jung (No. OF Vaun Brown (Tier 3), 1. Not bad shape for a system that just graduated the NL Rookie of the Year, Jonathan India. These rankings of all 30 . 27), Heston Kjerstad (No. . The Carlos Correa signing complicated Royce Lewis' plans to break camp in the bigs, but doesn't make him any less intriguing. RHP Connor Phillips (Tier 2)9. Cleveland Indians2020 midseason rank: 132020 preseason rank: 14Top 100 Prospects: Nolan Jones (No. Note: A player must not have passed the rookie-eligibility limits (130 at-bats, 50 innings pitched, 45 days on an active roster prior to Sept. 1) to be included in these rankings. 98), The Mariners are tied for the lead with six prospects in the Top 100, with two landing in the top 11 and topped, of course, by phenom Julio Rodrguez. The first three teams to sit atop our rankings -- the Cubs ( pre-2015 ), Red Sox ( mid-2015) and Dodgers ( pre-2016) -- have won World Series championships. 4. The organization slips slightly from the midseason rankings, in part because its two Top 100 pickups -- Keibert Ruiz and Josiah Gray -- have graduated from prospect status, a positive outcome in the grand scheme of things. 44), Jeter Downs (No. 2. Seattle Mariners2021 midseason rank: 22021 preseason rank: 32020 midseason rank: 42020 preseason rank: 9Top 100 Prospects: Julio Rodrguez, OF (No. RHP Dylan Lesko (Tier 2)4. RHP Kumar Rocker (Tier 2)7. This allowed the worst 55 and the best 50 to have a minuscule difference in value. 95), Joe Ryan (No. 96)Top 2021 rookie: Justin Topa, RHP, The Brewers have multiple players on the Top 100 for the first time since 2018, giving them two up-the-middle premium to lead a Top 30 thats almost entirely homegrown (29 of the Top 30) and has a lot more bats (21) than arms (nine). J.P. Arencibia / C. More . Top 10 Prospects 1. OF Mason Auer (Tier 3), 1. Id consider some of the teams who have among the most listed prospects and who also have a strong developmental track record such as the Dodgers, Red Sox and Guardians to reinsert themselves into that top tier within the next year, just through the sheer volume of opportunities they have to make players better. And on and on and on. lose rookie eligibility within this season) will move from the 2022 Updated page to the 2022 Graduates page, which already includes the players who have played enough this season to move off the prospect end of things. Boston Red Sox2020 midseason rank: 242020 preseason rank: 25Top 100 Prospects: Triston Casas (No. Every word of those write-ups is cemented on The Boards 2022 Report section, which is now set in stone on the site for future reference. He was hitting well in the Triple-A West League with an on-base percentage well over .400 for the year. Every player in the Top 10 is homegrown, with nine coming via the Draft and one coming via international signing. Kyle Drabek / SP. The farm systems that havent yet had their fresh and thorough annual examination (snaps latex glove) are highlighted in yellow on the Farm Ranking tab, with the asset values of their 2020 top 100 prospects the sole driver of their placement right now. 1B/OF Dustin Harris (Tier 3), 1. RHP Mick Abel (Tier 1)3. LHP Dylan Dodd (Tier 3)8. While top prospect Kahlil Watson will need a few years to develop at shortstop after Miami stole him with the 16th overall pick last July, right-handers Edward Cabrera and Max Meyer could join the big league rotation in 2022 -- with wunderkind Eury Perez not far behind. It seems like they are valued more like 42 and 62. OF Zac Veen (Tier 1)3. 54m The prospects traded for Juan Soto have been added to the Nationals team list: fangraphs.com/prospects/the- 5 4 12 FanGraphs Prospects @FG_Prospects Washington moves from 24th to 8th in the live farm system rankings. The following factors helped determine the placement of players and teams: A tier system was used to help differentiate the varying levels of individual talent: Teams were initially ranked based on the average tier ranking of their top 10 prospects, and the rankings were then subjectively tweaked from there. 31), Luis Matos (No. Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 7:42 AM ET, Park Factors Baltimore Orioles. RHP Cole Phillips (Tier 3) 6. More , 3. Puk are poised to make an impact in the bigs soon, and outfielder Cristian Pache could, too. The recent additions will take time to develop, but are supported by long-tenured members of the system. LHP Robert Gasser (Tier 3), 1. 3B Tyler Locklear (Tier 3)9. Now it's time to rank farm systems adding their 2022 draft picks, assuming most end up signing on the dotted line. With the draft and trade deadline looming in quick succession, though, they will shift a great deal in a relatively short span of time. At some point, the calculations should be dictated by what the players are and not what I forecast them to be, and figuring out how and when to transition from one to the other in this hybridized prospect/pre-arb (maybe?) Pre-Draft Farm System Rankings | FanGraphs Baseball Pre-Draft Farm System Rankings by Eric Longenhagen and Kiley McDaniel May 30, 2019 MLB Draft Week 2019 Mock Draft 3.0 Pre-Draft. Moreno is the clubs catcher of the future and that could come early in 2022, based on the readiness of his bat and his athleticism behind the plate. RHP Wilmer Flores (Tier 1)3. SS Denzer Guzman (Tier 3)7. More , 7. Thanks, Eric! 1. SS William Bergolla (Tier 3)9. OF Emmanuel Rodriguez (Tier 1)4. RHP Tink Hence (Tier 1)3. More , 9. Several outlets, including Bleacher Report and Prospects1500, peg the Royals' farm . 81)Top 2021 rookie: Corbin Martin, RHP, The D-backs hold steady at No. They dont have the major league-ready stars that other orgs do, but they have several fast-approaching everyday hitters, homegrown pitching depth (but not much internal hope for elite, top-of-rotation pitching), and the deepest system in the game. Thanks to Kevin Goldstein, Brendan Gawlowski, and Tess Taruskin for their help, to Sean Dolinar for building the tools that allow me to produce these lists with such detail by removing a huge part of the technological burden, and to managing enabler editor Meg Rowley, who edited every word of every list and with whom Im lucky to share enough pathological traits to make this all possible. Play Audio . Fifth-ranked Cleveland and sixth-ranked Arizona both had very good recent drafts and international classes. While this represents their lowest ranking since we started rating systems in 2015, recent first-rounders such as 2B Michael Busch, 3B Kody Hoese and RHP Bobby Miller headline a number of prospects on the rise. But you know what? Los Angeles Dodgers2021 midseason rank: 162021 preseason rank: 142020 midseason rank: 112020 preseason rank: 3Top 100 Prospects: Diego Cartaya (No. 5 Jordan Balazovic, No. More , 5. I like how the Padres and Dodgers are already ranked #4 and #5 despite not ranking the rest of the system. Puk, LHP, The graduations of Jess Luzardo and Sean Murphy weaken the top of the list, though a healthy A.J. 60), Jasson Dominguez (No. SS Mikey Romero (Tier 3), 1. 22), Nick Lodolo (No. Thanks for all of this hard work. LHP Noah Schultz (Tier 3)6. RHP Bobby Miller (Tier 1)3. RHP Norge Vera (Tier 2)5. 11), Riley Greene (No. 96), Shortstops are this system's strength, led by Top 100 prospects Anthony Volpe and Oswald Peraza and with future Top 100 candidates Trey Sweeney and Roderick Arias behind them. 39), Brady House (No. Post-2018 Farm System Rankings 11/12/2018 - Craig Edwards 53 Prospects Minor League Leaders Batting Pitching Stats are combined from all levels. OF Alex Ramirez (Tier 1)5. This is accessible through the Seasonal tab on The Board, though the default for the Seasonal tab at the moment takes you to the Futures Game rosters, so until next week youll have to use the dropdown to access the graduates. But the top three on the list were all first-round picks of the Pirates. Lacy struggled with control and health in his first full season, and 2021 Draft picks Frank Mozzicato and Ben Kudrna are years away from Kauffman Stadium, though they do have solid ceilings. 15), JJ Bleday (No. 81), The Phillies farm system has slid down our rankings in recent years, but thats not to say its a system devoid of high-end talent -- infielder Stott looks like a future star at the plate who could crack the Opening Day roster, and Philadelphia has invested its top pick in the past two Drafts in a pair of talented right-handers -- Abel and Andrew Painter. 87)Top 2021 rookie: Nate Pearson, RHP, The Blue Jays are No. 3B Curtis Mead (Tier 1)3. 67), Matt Allan (No. RHP Victor Lizarraga (Tier 3)7. -Far and away the best prospect in the Astros system, right-hander Hunter Brown is quickly emerging as one of the best pitching prospects in baseball. 35), Eury Perez (No. RHP Blade Tidwell (Tier 3)10. 28); Edward Cabrera, RHP (No. Updated MLB Farm System Rankings at Start of the 2022-23 Offseason Joel Reuter November 16, 2022 Greg Fiume/Getty Images Before the MLB offseason trade market heats up, now is the perfect. C/IF/OF Endy Rodriguez (Tier 1)2. In their places, Shane Baz became one of the most promising young arms in the game, Josh Lowe showed enough tools to put himself on the brink of The Show and Taj Bradley led full-season Minor Leaguers in ERA. LHP Jake Bennett (Tier 3)10. Theres a new wave of 40s from every draft and signing period. 48), Ronny Mauricio (No. The closest before Bobby Witt Jr. assumed the throne this spring was when Alex Gordon was No.
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